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[lastpost] => 2795600 今日虚拟币市场还是普跌为主的啊 1767986594 叫我十三
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委内瑞拉曾多次发生主权资产在国外被扣押或冻结的情况，特别是黄金和银行储备。5 r( |- b' W6 z7 L' p8 [
这段历史加剧了人们的猜测，即任何其他储备，包括传闻中的比特币持有量，都将以截然不同的方式处理。; m% V; V- ]$ g) g- r$ l/ M
即使未经证实，该讨论也凸显了制裁如何重塑主权行为和全球资产流动。
1 \/ R; a- e- W9 P过去十年，委内瑞拉的财富一旦流出国外，就屡次消失殆尽。金子储存在海外金库的黄金被冻结或没收，银行账户被冻结，在制裁下，获取美元的渠道逐渐消失。路透社的报道证实，在2010年代后期，数十吨委内瑞拉黄金被出售或转移到国外，这永久性地改变了该国以及其他类似国家对储备安全的看法。
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那段历史很重要。它给我们上了惨痛的一课：如果你的储备依赖于外国托管人，那么这些储备就不真正属于你。
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为什么比特币频频出现？
) d! U% M7 P7 z% x3 _在此背景下，关于……的猜测委内瑞拉比特币储备这种情况已经有所改善。目前还没有公开的链上证据证明存在大型国家控制的钱包，这一点很重要。但激励机制的逻辑也同样重要。
" A6 ?; y8 d8 E, h$ @3 }
! u* O% Y4 s& c* W" u比特币比特币无法被外国银行冻结、从金库中查获，也无法被代理银行规则所失效。对于受制裁的ZF而言，比特币代表着一种完全不受传统管制限制的储备资产。这并不能证实委内瑞拉大规模持有比特币，但可以解释为什么这种想法始终挥之不去。
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" Y- l' \. [# ]9 u' u! |( y大多数人忽略的市场角度4 m% w9 ^; V0 W- o; x
如果主权国家持有的比特币卷入法律纠纷，它不太可能迅速流入市场。这些资产会被法院冻结，而不是被抛售到交易所。从市场角度来看，这反而会减少供应，而不是增加抛售压力。1 o) O- o6 o+ q/ N# H1 a& q6 g
: {, {( x ?) ?# B. o' E" h
从更宏观的角度来看，这凸显了一个更广泛的模式。制裁并不会抹杀财富，而是重塑财富。当传统资产变成负债时，那些不易被没收的替代资产就显得不那么投机，而更具战略意义。9 O% G. z- L. ^
# `7 k V3 I* w+ }4 ?更重要的启示
' h1 ^- ~, X- X; W2 \% t$ ] c委内瑞拉如今是否持有比特币几乎无关紧要。有据可查的黄金查获事件是真实存在的，这也解释了为什么受制裁国家会寻找那些无法被冻结、审查或悄悄没收的资产。比特币在此的作用并非炒作，而是源于经验积累的激励机制。
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这事儿真挺扎心的，靠别人保管的钱，说没就没了，比特币倒是让人想试试新路子 |
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当前离线
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被制裁怕了谁都一样，连黄金都保不住，换成比特币至少自己能捏着钥匙 |
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当前离线
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委内瑞拉这经历确实够惨，难怪现在谁都不信外国托管了 |
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委内瑞拉这经历，真是给各国上了一课，别把鸡蛋放一个篮子里啊 |
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