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所谓“笋盘”,在房地产业可以理解为既便宜又舒适美观的好楼盘,在足球博彩中指的就是那些盘口开的很浅、贴水回报又很理想的让球盘。所谓“笋盘”是游离于“实力盘”和“蛊惑盘”之间的十分难以界定的鬼魅盘口,故此又被很多人称作“鬼盘”。玩家如判断正确,投资回报如破竹春笋般增长,判断失误,“笋盘”就成了让人破财的“损盘”。有人说“笋盘”是庄家为制造“羊群效应”对玩家具有回馈性的便宜盘,也有人认为它是庄家对比赛判断出现失误而成全了投注者,笔者觉得这两种说法都难以成立。那么,到底有没有“笋盘”呢?笔者可以明确地告诉大家根本就没有这么便宜的事。其实产生“笋盘”的概念无外乎是玩家对已判断正确的心理盘的一种误解。例如,曼联做客只让实力很弱的胡尔城平手盘还是高水受注,最终还是强队赢球赢盘,这个盘口案例成了很多人津津乐道的便宜盘。其实不然,庄家之所以这么开盘,和三天后曼联与巴塞罗那决战欧冠有关,曼联能否全力应战联赛,成了庄家借助炒作的题材。关于这场比赛本书后面的双线作战盘路中将有详细分析。而分析的结论,是把这场比赛定位在了心理盘方面。如果真要给这类便宜盘起个名字,笔者认为把“笋盘”称作“鬼盘”才更为贴切。

这里还要引起注意的是一种与所谓“笋盘”有关的现象。例如,在周末的比赛中,主要赛事一般在晚上21点以后开始,而在早前段则会出现一些零星的比赛。该时段会出现一些较为正路的比赛,喜欢买盘口的玩家往往会在盘口上收获甚丰,喜欢玩大球的玩家也会被一个接一个的进球惊喜得振臂欢呼,于是就会有人对后面的同类型比赛产生了惯性思维,觉得后面的比赛中的上盘大多会顺利打出、进球数也都少不了,就是在这种错误思维的诱导下,在后段的投资中损失惨重,连本带利的奉还给了庄家。而一些人则把这些赛事当做庄家试探性进攻的先头部队,也就产生了这个时段会有“笋盘”出现的错误想法。在这里笔者不排除庄家存在试探性的开盘思维,但是即使我们命中了早段的一些比赛,也决不能就把这个阶段视作庄家是在抛砖引玉的放诱饵,我觉得事情还没那么复杂,如果你猜对了前面的比赛,那就只能说明你在第一个回合识破了庄家的诡计而已,并不能把所谓“笋盘”和“便宜盘”概念引入到比赛分析的任何一个时段中来。在这里提醒大家不要去刻意的寻找什么便宜盘,要以博弈的态度去看待每一场比赛,决不能走捷径图省事。

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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
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